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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion TODO.substantiate/README.md
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Expand Up @@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ COMPLETE and closed: TODO.training-work, TODO.publish.
|---|---|---|---|---|
| [01](01-paper-currency.md) | Three latex papers current with the Sept results | P1 — highest value | COMPLETE (rababa #80) — venue formatting/submission is the owner's | nothing |
| [02](02-ce-curve-comparison.md) | E5/E6 CE-curve vs run-006 at matched steps | P1 — quick, mechanical | COMPLETE (ml #146) | nothing |
| [03](03-gkd-arming.md) | GKD rung: arm spec + registration (launch = owner) | P2 | IMPLEMENTED (ml #148) — launch queued on GPU slot; driver = [CONTINUE.md](CONTINUE.md) step 1 | GPU slot |
| [03](03-gkd-arming.md) | GKD rung: arm spec + registration (launch = owner) | P2 | COMPLETE (2026-09-05) — verdict 6.0036 GATE FAILED; implemented ml #148/#151, run-012 (nine preemptions absorbed), prediction missed; recorded ml EXPERIMENTS + PUBLICATION-NOTES; papers amended | nothing |
| [04](04-g2b-watch.md) | G2b verdict watch + cross-recording | P2 | COMPLETE (2026-09-04) — verdict 4.8231 recorded (ml PR pending); domain hypothesis negative both directions
| [05](05-project-closeouts.md) | Issue closures #38/#41 + legacy alert dismissals | P3 | COMPLETE — #38/#41 closed with cross-refs; all 56 Dependabot alerts auto-FIXED by #48+#78 on rescan (no dismissals needed) | nothing |

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30 changes: 19 additions & 11 deletions docs/paper-arabic/main.tex
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Expand Up @@ -88,10 +88,12 @@ \section{Introduction}
$\rightarrow$ \textbf{4.82\%} (42\% error reduction at
identical architecture) via a controlled lever ladder
(optimizer $-2.96$pp, fresher teacher labels $-0.47$pp,
longer training $-0.25$pp), plus two registered negatives
(multi-token-prediction auxiliary $+0.26$pp;
constant-budget register swap $+0.98$pp) showing neither
frontier-training techniques nor register mixing substitute
longer training $-0.25$pp), plus four registered negatives
(multi-token-prediction auxiliary $+0.26$pp; register swap
$+0.98$pp; register add flat-with-epochs-cancelled at 4.82;
on-policy GKD $+1.18$pp, the worst rung) showing that neither
frontier-training techniques, register mixing in either
direction, nor on-policy exposure substitute
for supervision quality.
\item A three-way RL negative result (RAFT, sequence-GRPO on Persian,
entropy-weighted GTPO-GRPO on Arabic): all flat or negative at
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -227,15 +229,21 @@ \subsection{The distilled client tier}
contributes $-2.96$pp (a controlled 2$\times$2 factorial closes
additively: optimizer $-2.96$, memory-layer capacity $-0.70$,
combined $-3.43$), fresher r7 teacher labels $-0.47$pp, and longer
training a further $-0.25$pp (4.57\%). Two registered negatives
training a further $-0.25$pp (4.57\%). Four registered negatives
bracket the ladder: multi-token-prediction as a training auxiliary
scored 5.09\% ($+0.26$pp vs control, with a disclosed preemption
confound), and swapping news-domain training units for classical
Tashkeela at constant budget scored 5.81\% ($+0.98$pp)---the causal
test of the domain-coverage hypothesis failing in the swap direction.
Together with the RL negatives, the pattern is one line: at SFT
convergence, supervision quality dominates policy optimization,
frontier training techniques, and register diversification alike. The
confound); swapping news-domain training units for classical
Tashkeela at constant budget scored 5.81\% ($+0.98$pp); adding
18k classical units on top at matched epochs scored 4.82\%---flat
against the 3-epoch control and 0.25pp behind news-only training at
the same epochs, the add canceling the epoch gain entirely; and
on-policy generalized distillation (reverse-KL on student-sampled
sequences scored by the frozen teacher) scored 6.00\% ($+1.18$pp,
the worst rung measured)---the domain-coverage hypothesis failing
in every direction it was tested. Together with the RL negatives,
the pattern is one line: at SFT convergence, supervision quality
dominates policy optimization, frontier training techniques,
on-policy exposure, and register diversification alike. The
tier ships as checksummed, runtime-agnostic artifacts (IMF v1) whose
quantization fragility was itself diagnosed and fixed---the quantized
output head, not the body, caused confident flip errors (9.34\%
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