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Rewrite the China and cost objections on the Dutch Pause Button page - #1117

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joepio merged 1 commit into
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asml-objections-followup
Sep 14, 2026
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joepio merged 1 commit into
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asml-objections-followup

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@joepio

@joepio joepio commented Sep 14, 2026

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Follow-up to #1116, which was merged before this commit landed on the branch.

  • China objection: replaces the two-sentence answer with the current state of Chinese lithography (the SSA800 immersion DUV tool at ~5 units/year matching a 2008 ASML machine, the Shenzhen EUV prototype with no chips yet, the June 2026 AI Futures forecast of mid-2030s DUV and late-2030s EUV) and the point that China's advanced chips still come off ASML-serviced DUV machines, so the lever reaches China too.
  • Cost objection: it is a condition, not an export stop; the cost falls on whoever refuses; ASML is supply-constrained; the comparison is with the MATCH Act; Operation Beethoven as precedent for a compensation fund.
  • Drops the Tim Worstall reference.

Prettier passes.

- China: current state of Chinese DUV and EUV (SSA800, Shenzhen prototype,
  AI Futures forecast) and the fact that China's advanced chips still run
  on ASML-serviced machines
- Cost: it is a condition, not an export stop; compare with the MATCH Act;
  Operation Beethoven as precedent for compensation
- Drop the Worstall reference
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@joepio
joepio merged commit 8245dfd into main Sep 14, 2026
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